Andrew Freedman and Jennifer A. Kingson of Axios write on new hurricane modeling.
- Current hurricane monitoring is good at predicting direction, but struggles to accurately predict intensity changes.
- The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is developing lightweight drones that can track hurricane intensity in real time.
- During Hurricane Ian, NOAA deployed a 27 pound drone into the eye of the storm where it spent two hours conveying real time information on the hurricane.
- In addition to these drones, NOAA is developing a new hurricane forecasting model which it aims to adopt next year.
“For storm intensity forecasts in particular, NOAA has been developing a new system known as HAFS — the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System — and hopes to implement it next spring. HAFS will ‘provide an operational analysis and forecast out to seven days‘ and allow scientists ‘to see multiple storms at once to understand how they interact,’ NOAA says.”
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